2014 GMD to ETB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5112 ETB

YEARLY LOW

0.4625 ETB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4934 ETB

2014 GMD to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the GMD to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 25, valuing the pair at 0.5112. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 6, dropping to 0.4625.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0487 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5032 to the December average rate of 0.4679, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.5112 was down 12.39% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.5835, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,556 ETB

2013 Average 2,770 ETB

Yearly Trough Low 2,313 ETB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 243.32 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.5100

0.4617

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4999, compared to 0.4870 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0129 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4999

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4870

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 0.0429 ETB (High: 0.5068 / Low: 0.4638). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0039 ETB (High: 0.5016 / Low: 0.4977).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0429

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0039

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0231 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0231

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2014: 0.5004) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.5597), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0593 (-10.60%).

2014 Avg (April) 0.5004

2013 Avg (April) 0.5597

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5054	0.5011	0.5032
February	0.5070	0.4991	0.5044
March	0.5081	0.5011	0.5060
April	0.5112	0.4900	0.5004
May	0.4940	0.4887	0.4920
June	0.4957	0.4907	0.4934
July	0.5002	0.4947	0.4978
August	0.5016	0.4977	0.4991
September	0.5061	0.4974	0.5026
October	0.5068	0.4638	0.4888
November	0.4673	0.4625	0.4657
December	0.4713	0.4657	0.4679