YEARLY HIGH
0.0630 GEL
YEARLY LOW
0.0403 GEL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0538 GEL

2015 GMD to GEL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the GMD to GEL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 21, valuing the pair at 0.0630. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 4, dropping to 0.0403.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0226 GEL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0411 to the December average rate of 0.0606, the exchange rate registered a net change of 47.32% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.0630 was up 34.98% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.0466, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 315 GEL
2014 Average 221 GEL
Yearly Trough Low 202 GEL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 113.21 GEL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.0630
0.0389
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to GEL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0477, compared to 0.0598 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0121 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0477
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0598

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was March, with a trading range of 0.0109 GEL (High: 0.0518 / Low: 0.0410). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0008 GEL (High: 0.0412 / Low: 0.0403).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0109
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0008

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0009 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0009

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 0.0609) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.0442), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0167 (+37.86%).

2015 Avg (September) 0.0609
2014 Avg (September) 0.0442

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0416 0.0407 0.0411
February 0.0412 0.0403 0.0409
March 0.0518 0.0410 0.0448
April 0.0540 0.0520 0.0525
May 0.0549 0.0527 0.0539
June 0.0568 0.0521 0.0530
July 0.0577 0.0565 0.0569
August 0.0603 0.0570 0.0585
September 0.0630 0.0585 0.0609
October 0.0620 0.0599 0.0610
November 0.0615 0.0603 0.0610
December 0.0612 0.0599 0.0606