YEARLY HIGH
0.0655 GEL
YEARLY LOW
0.0497 GEL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0564 GEL

2016 GMD to GEL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GMD to GEL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 21, valuing the pair at 0.0655. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 8, dropping to 0.0497.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0158 GEL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0617 to the December average rate of 0.0620, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0655 was up 4.01% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0630, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 327 GEL
2015 Average 269 GEL
Yearly Trough Low 248 GEL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 79.19 GEL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0641
0.0498
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to GEL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0564, compared to 0.0564 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0000 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0564
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0564

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0088 GEL (High: 0.0629 / Low: 0.0541). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0010 GEL (High: 0.0553 / Low: 0.0543).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0088
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0010

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0057 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0057

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.0620) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0606), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0014 (+2.35%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.0620
2015 Avg (December) 0.0606

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0632 0.0607 0.0617
February 0.0634 0.0623 0.0629
March 0.0629 0.0541 0.0586
April 0.0539 0.0522 0.0529
May 0.0523 0.0501 0.0510
June 0.0551 0.0497 0.0514
July 0.0553 0.0543 0.0548
August 0.0553 0.0534 0.0543
September 0.0549 0.0537 0.0542
October 0.0559 0.0546 0.0552
November 0.0592 0.0559 0.0579
December 0.0655 0.0591 0.0620