YEARLY HIGH
6.2468 HUF
YEARLY LOW
5.5371 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.8323 HUF

2014 GMD to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the GMD to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 5, valuing the pair at 6.2468. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 8, dropping to 5.5371.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7097 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.8135 to the December average rate of 5.8667, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 6.2468 was down 13.25% compared to the 2013 peak of 7.2005, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 31,234 HUF
2013 Average 33,107 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 27,685 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,548.56 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

6.1810
5.5362
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.7755, compared to 5.8890 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1135 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.7755
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8890

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 0.6238 HUF (High: 6.2468 / Low: 5.6230). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0947 HUF (High: 5.6318 / Low: 5.5371).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.6238
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0947

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2230 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2230

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2014: 5.9292) against the same month in 2013 (average: 6.6111), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6819 (-10.31%).

2014 Avg (October) 5.9292
2013 Avg (October) 6.6111

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.0544 5.6865 5.8135
February 6.0904 5.8929 5.9493
March 5.9807 5.8376 5.9095
April 5.8829 5.5701 5.7235
May 5.6318 5.5371 5.5899
June 5.7347 5.5976 5.6675
July 5.9084 5.7113 5.7729
August 6.0396 5.8819 5.9317
September 6.2247 5.9904 6.1272
October 6.2468 5.6230 5.9292
November 5.7653 5.6376 5.7062
December 6.0817 5.6969 5.8667