YEARLY HIGH
7.3915 HUF
YEARLY LOW
6.3190 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.7108 HUF

2016 GMD to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GMD to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 7.3915. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 6.3190.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0725 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.3235 to the December average rate of 6.9166, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.56% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 7.3915 was down 1.37% compared to the 2015 peak of 7.4940, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 36,957 HUF
2015 Average 33,985 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 31,595 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,362.43 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

7.4116
6.3548
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.7974, compared to 6.6241 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1733 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.7974
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.6241

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.8110 HUF (High: 7.2709 / Low: 6.4599). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0998 HUF (High: 6.4906 / Low: 6.3907).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.8110
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0998

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.4444 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4444

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 7.3235) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.3264), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9971 (+15.76%).

2016 Avg (January) 7.3235
2015 Avg (January) 6.3264

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.3915 7.2521 7.3235
February 7.2387 6.9816 7.0773
March 7.2709 6.4599 6.8872
April 6.4906 6.3907 6.4428
May 6.6272 6.3190 6.5127
June 6.7346 6.3656 6.5409
July 6.7109 6.5449 6.6543
August 6.5789 6.3983 6.4880
September 6.5213 6.3870 6.4612
October 6.6531 6.3779 6.5217
November 6.8989 6.4611 6.7029
December 7.0316 6.7882 6.9166