YEARLY HIGH
6.0270 HUF
YEARLY LOW
5.1110 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.6184 HUF

2018 GMD to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GMD to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 28, valuing the pair at 6.0270. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 5.1110.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9160 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.2797 to the December average rate of 5.7335, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.0270 was down 12.96% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.9240, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,135 HUF
2017 Average 29,968 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 25,555 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,580.14 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.9165
5.2218
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.4811, compared to 5.7557 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2746 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.4811
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.7557

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.3485 HUF (High: 5.8972 / Low: 5.5488). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1129 HUF (High: 5.4150 / Low: 5.3021).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.3485
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1129

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0730 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0730

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 5.8586) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.9705), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1119 (-1.87%).

2018 Avg (June) 5.8586
2017 Avg (June) 5.9705

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.4422 5.1110 5.2797
February 5.4520 5.1568 5.3337
March 5.4150 5.3021 5.3523
April 5.5052 5.3120 5.3790
May 5.8972 5.5488 5.6832
June 6.0270 5.7195 5.8586
July 6.0046 5.7028 5.8183
August 5.9433 5.7144 5.8175
September 5.8881 5.6044 5.7446
October 5.8031 5.6216 5.6991
November 5.7945 5.6657 5.7212
December 5.7786 5.6616 5.7335