2016 GMD to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

353.9243 IDR

YEARLY LOW

303.7785 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

317.3264 IDR

2016 GMD to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GMD to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 353.9243. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 28, dropping to 303.7785.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 50.1458 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 351.1190 to the December average rate of 313.3029, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.77% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 353.9243 was down 6.06% compared to the 2015 peak of 376.7461, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,769,622 IDR

2015 Average 1,630,715 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 1,518,893 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 250,729.14 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

355.7092

300.6275

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 325.6404, compared to 309.0124 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 16.6280 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 325.6404

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 309.0124

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 30.5523 IDR (High: 340.0098 / Low: 309.4575). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.9551 IDR (High: 309.9591 / Low: 307.0040).

March Spread (Volatile) ±30.5523

April Spread (Stable) ±2.9551

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 18.0194 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -18.0194

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 351.1190) against the same month in 2015 (average: 292.6867), the exchange rate shifted by +58.4323 (+19.96%).

2016 Avg (January) 351.1190

2015 Avg (January) 292.6867

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	353.9243	347.9639	351.1190
February	348.4064	338.7058	342.5066
March	340.0098	309.4575	324.4872
April	309.9591	307.0040	308.7406
May	320.3187	306.8713	314.0633
June	319.9898	307.8772	312.9259
July	309.7799	305.8146	307.2697
August	311.7748	305.3135	308.4421
September	311.6038	303.7785	307.9829
October	306.9295	303.8036	305.2177
November	318.9118	304.5753	311.8592
December	316.0799	309.9945	313.3029