YEARLY HIGH
308.9576 IDR
YEARLY LOW
273.4470 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
294.5027 IDR

2018 GMD to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GMD to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 8, valuing the pair at 308.9576. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 28, dropping to 273.4470.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 35.5105 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 279.4282 to the December average rate of 293.4864, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.03% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 308.9576 was down 2.19% compared to the 2017 peak of 315.8716, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,544,788 IDR
2017 Average 1,460,870 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 1,367,235 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 177,552.66 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

309.7122
276.6752
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 290.5700, compared to 298.4354 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 7.8654 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 290.5700
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 298.4354

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 16.2400 IDR (High: 305.7847 / Low: 289.5447). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.7288 IDR (High: 299.4265 / Low: 296.6977).

November Spread (Volatile) ±16.2400
August Spread (Stable) ±2.7288

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 10.8919 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -10.8919

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 306.9591) against the same month in 2017 (average: 287.2123), the exchange rate shifted by +19.7468 (+6.88%).

2018 Avg (October) 306.9591
2017 Avg (October) 287.2123

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 284.5727 273.4470 279.4282
February 290.6288 279.8726 286.9287
March 291.8722 288.5181 290.8577
April 294.2450 290.3306 292.2742
May 300.6727 295.0165 297.6010
June 301.6934 293.4986 296.3302
July 302.1726 297.0660 299.2875
August 299.4265 296.6977 297.9732
September 300.3730 292.5453 296.8392
October 308.9576 296.2034 306.9591
November 305.7847 289.5447 296.0672
December 295.4045 288.6255 293.4864