2018 GMD to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1718 MOP

YEARLY LOW

0.1613 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1679 MOP

2018 GMD to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GMD to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 1, valuing the pair at 0.1718. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 18, dropping to 0.1613.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0105 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1678 to the December average rate of 0.1629, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1718 was down 8.47% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1877, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 859 MOP

2017 Average 876 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 806 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 52.69 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1723

0.1618

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1704, compared to 0.1654 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0050 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1704

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1654

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.0050 MOP (High: 0.1685 / Low: 0.1635). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0007 MOP (High: 0.1718 / Low: 0.1711).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0050

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0007

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0032 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0032

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2018: 0.1714) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1739), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0025 (-1.41%).

2018 Avg (May) 0.1714

2017 Avg (May) 0.1739

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1701	0.1654	0.1678
February	0.1711	0.1680	0.1702
March	0.1712	0.1696	0.1707
April	0.1717	0.1702	0.1712
May	0.1718	0.1711	0.1714
June	0.1718	0.1709	0.1713
July	0.1716	0.1681	0.1694
August	0.1685	0.1677	0.1680
September	0.1685	0.1635	0.1664
October	0.1637	0.1623	0.1631
November	0.1632	0.1613	0.1627
December	0.1636	0.1623	0.1629