YEARLY HIGH
7.4730 ALL
YEARLY LOW
4.2908 ALL
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.4794 ALL

2019 HNL to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the HNL to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 9, valuing the pair at 7.4730. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 11, dropping to 4.2908.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.1822 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4589 to the December average rate of 4.5503, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 7.4730 was up 56.28% compared to the 2018 peak of 4.7817, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 37,365 ALL
2018 Average 22,596 ALL
Yearly Trough Low 21,454 ALL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,911.12 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

4.5677
4.3596
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.4745, compared to 4.4844 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0100 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.4745
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.4844

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 3.0692 ALL (High: 7.4730 / Low: 4.4038). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0587 ALL (High: 4.5445 / Low: 4.4858).

December Spread (Volatile) ±3.0692
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0587

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1373 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1373

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 4.5503) against the same month in 2018 (average: 4.4736), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0767 (+1.72%).

2019 Avg (December) 4.5503
2018 Avg (December) 4.4736

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.4946 4.4067 4.4589
February 4.5029 4.4422 4.4772
March 4.5445 4.4858 4.5103
April 4.5570 4.4646 4.5092
May 4.6712 4.4386 4.5142
June 4.4875 4.2908 4.3769
July 4.4617 4.3848 4.4174
August 4.5051 4.3810 4.4363
September 4.5400 4.4490 4.4871
October 4.5604 4.4707 4.5116
November 4.5346 4.4703 4.5039
December 7.4730 4.4038 4.5503