YEARLY HIGH
7.8471 LKR
YEARLY LOW
6.4849 LKR
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.7933 LKR

2018 HNL to LKR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to LKR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 7.8471. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 6.4849.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3622 LKR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.5074 to the December average rate of 7.4348, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.25% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 7.8471 was up 18.65% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.6139, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39,236 LKR
2017 Average 32,483 LKR
Yearly Trough Low 32,425 LKR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,811.21 LKR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

7.5275
6.4147
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to LKR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.5886, compared to 6.9981 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4095 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.5886
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.9981

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.5320 LKR (High: 7.8471 / Low: 7.3151). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0515 LKR (High: 6.6114 / Low: 6.5599).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.5320
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0515

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0083 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0083

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 7.4348) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.4806), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9542 (+14.72%).

2018 Avg (December) 7.4348
2017 Avg (December) 6.4806

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.5481 6.4849 6.5074
February 6.6023 6.5240 6.5610
March 6.6114 6.5599 6.5881
April 6.6725 6.5407 6.6000
May 6.6762 6.6135 6.6416
June 6.6669 6.5873 6.6334
July 6.6694 6.5888 6.6408
August 6.7275 6.6432 6.6766
September 7.0384 6.7265 6.8647
October 7.2591 7.0176 7.1123
November 7.3987 7.0970 7.2592
December 7.8471 7.3151 7.4348