YEARLY HIGH
4.1549 LRD
YEARLY LOW
3.7104 LRD
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9231 LRD

2016 HNL to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HNL to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 18, valuing the pair at 4.1549. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 3.7104.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4445 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8150 to the December average rate of 3.9420, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.33% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.1549 was down 4.75% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.3622, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,774 LRD
2015 Average 19,805 LRD
Yearly Trough Low 18,552 LRD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,222.48 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.0435
3.7175
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.8661, compared to 3.9802 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1141 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.8661
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9802

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was April, with a trading range of 0.2696 LRD (High: 4.0146 / Low: 3.7451). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0168 LRD (High: 4.0135 / Low: 3.9967).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.2696
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0168

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0704 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0704

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 4.0163) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.9620), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0543 (+1.37%).

2016 Avg (August) 4.0163
2015 Avg (August) 3.9620

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.9805 3.7535 3.8150
February 3.7738 3.7104 3.7447
March 3.7559 3.7340 3.7453
April 4.0146 3.7451 3.8977
May 4.0135 3.9967 4.0065
June 4.0008 3.9630 3.9872
July 3.9830 3.9405 3.9648
August 4.1549 3.9396 4.0163
September 4.0314 3.9844 4.0041
October 4.0353 3.9588 4.0016
November 3.9996 3.9090 3.9523
December 4.0031 3.8736 3.9420