YEARLY HIGH
8.1084 LRD
YEARLY LOW
6.3963 LRD
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.7472 LRD

2020 HNL to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the HNL to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 21, valuing the pair at 8.1084. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 18, dropping to 6.3963.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7121 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.7247 to the December average rate of 6.6523, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 8.1084 was down 36.12% compared to the 2019 peak of 12.6942, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 40,542 LRD
2019 Average 37,972 LRD
Yearly Trough Low 31,981 LRD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,560.51 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

8.2025
6.5114
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.9129, compared to 7.5815 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3314 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.9129
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.5815

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was November, with a trading range of 1.0518 LRD (High: 7.4481 / Low: 6.3963). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0538 LRD (High: 8.0864 / Low: 8.0326).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.0518
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0538

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.0998 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0998

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2020: 8.0616) against the same month in 2019 (average: 8.2878), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2262 (-2.73%).

2020 Avg (August) 8.0616
2019 Avg (August) 8.2878

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.8593 7.5291 7.7247
February 7.9885 7.8566 7.9200
March 8.0336 7.8903 7.9498
April 8.0067 7.9200 7.9516
May 7.9934 7.9218 7.9470
June 8.0298 7.9575 7.9842
July 8.0543 7.9870 8.0102
August 8.1084 7.9870 8.0616
September 8.0864 8.0326 8.0584
October 8.0749 7.4481 7.9031
November 7.4481 6.3963 6.8034
December 6.7862 6.4918 6.6523