YEARLY HIGH
6.9139 LRD
YEARLY LOW
5.1415 LRD
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.0154 LRD

2018 HNL to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 6.9139. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 5.1415.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7724 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.3688 to the December average rate of 6.4969, the exchange rate registered a net change of 21.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.9139 was up 29.79% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.3268, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 34,569 LRD
2017 Average 22,256 LRD
Yearly Trough Low 25,707 LRD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,861.86 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.6208
5.2354
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5635, compared to 6.4673 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.9039 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5635
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.4673

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.4860 LRD (High: 6.7296 / Low: 6.2435). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0464 LRD (High: 5.5645 / Low: 5.5182).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.4860
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0464

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0814 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0814

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 6.4969) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.3093), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1876 (+22.37%).

2018 Avg (December) 6.4969
2017 Avg (December) 5.3093

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.4603 5.1950 5.3688
February 5.5274 5.1415 5.3508
March 5.5645 5.5182 5.5477
April 5.5758 5.5054 5.5387
May 5.7866 5.5385 5.6313
June 6.2384 5.7725 5.9437
July 6.7296 6.2435 6.4732
August 6.4586 6.3108 6.3918
September 6.6572 6.4089 6.4376
October 6.5369 6.4508 6.5053
November 6.5885 6.4628 6.4990
December 6.9139 6.4346 6.4969