2016 HTG to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.9900 RSD

YEARLY LOW

1.6776 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.7671 RSD

2016 HTG to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HTG to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 1.9900. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 26, dropping to 1.6776.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3124 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.9452 to the December average rate of 1.7580, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.9900 was down 18.34% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.4368, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HTG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,950 RSD

2015 Average 10,757 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 8,388 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,561.93 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.9705

1.6670

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HTG to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8006, compared to 1.7336 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0671 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.8006

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7336

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.1081 RSD (High: 1.8463 / Low: 1.7382). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0272 RSD (High: 1.7701 / Low: 1.7430).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1081

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0272

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1124 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1124

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.9452) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.2626), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3174 (-14.03%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.9452

2015 Avg (January) 2.2626

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.9900	1.9021	1.9452
February	1.8988	1.8045	1.8329
March	1.8463	1.7382	1.7879
April	1.7607	1.7167	1.7426
May	1.7776	1.7145	1.7454
June	1.7868	1.7303	1.7499
July	1.7701	1.7430	1.7604
August	1.7433	1.6852	1.7151
September	1.7127	1.6776	1.6923
October	1.7446	1.6802	1.7176
November	1.8040	1.7109	1.7580
December	1.7778	1.7367	1.7580