2018 HTG to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.5758 RSD

YEARLY LOW

1.3324 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.4850 RSD

2018 HTG to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HTG to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 25, valuing the pair at 1.5758. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 1.3324.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2434 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5073 to the December average rate of 1.3670, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.5758 was down 11.41% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.7788, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HTG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,879 RSD

2017 Average 8,279 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 6,662 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,217.09 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.5645

1.3490

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HTG to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5096, compared to 1.4603 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0494 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5096

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4603

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0937 RSD (High: 1.5622 / Low: 1.4685). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0346 RSD (High: 1.5085 / Low: 1.4739).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0937

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0346

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0660 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0660

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2018: 1.5466) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.6172), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0706 (-4.37%).

2018 Avg (May) 1.5466

2017 Avg (May) 1.6172

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5435	1.4898	1.5073
February	1.5120	1.4760	1.4940
March	1.5085	1.4739	1.4870
April	1.5154	1.4686	1.4864
May	1.5758	1.5125	1.5466
June	1.5608	1.5122	1.5366
July	1.5520	1.4941	1.5202
August	1.5622	1.4685	1.5195
September	1.4801	1.4433	1.4634
October	1.4790	1.4348	1.4585
November	1.4538	1.4084	1.4330
December	1.4161	1.3324	1.3670