2016 HTG to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2395 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.1965 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2109 SCR

2016 HTG to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HTG to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 14, valuing the pair at 0.2395. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 22, dropping to 0.1965.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0430 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2255 to the December average rate of 0.2011, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.81% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.2395 was down 21.45% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.3049, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HTG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,197 SCR

2015 Average 1,319 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 983 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 214.80 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.2279

0.1987

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HTG to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2169, compared to 0.2049 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0119 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2169

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2049

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0279 SCR (High: 0.2395 / Low: 0.2116). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0042 SCR (High: 0.2061 / Low: 0.2019).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0279

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0042

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0072 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0072

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 0.2220) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3008), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0788 (-26.20%).

2016 Avg (February) 0.2220

2015 Avg (February) 0.3008

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2312	0.2194	0.2255
February	0.2395	0.2116	0.2220
March	0.2186	0.2093	0.2148
April	0.2270	0.2046	0.2163
May	0.2219	0.2087	0.2138
June	0.2134	0.2005	0.2087
July	0.2134	0.2004	0.2080
August	0.2106	0.2028	0.2065
September	0.2061	0.2019	0.2041
October	0.2069	0.2006	0.2040
November	0.2094	0.2024	0.2057
December	0.2055	0.1965	0.2011