YEARLY HIGH
6.1285 BIF
YEARLY LOW
5.3355 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.7466 BIF

2016 HUF to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HUF to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 8, valuing the pair at 6.1285. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 5.3355.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7930 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.3983 to the December average rate of 5.6587, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6.1285 was up 3.36% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.9292, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,128,537 BIF
2015 Average 5,611,375 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 5,335,523 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 793,014.74 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

6.1104
5.3336
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5960, compared to 5.8972 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3012 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5960
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8972

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.5444 BIF (High: 6.0691 / Low: 5.5248). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1194 BIF (High: 5.7198 / Low: 5.6003).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.5444
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1194

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1862 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1862

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2016: 5.9915) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.6182), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3733 (+6.64%).

2016 Avg (October) 5.9915
2015 Avg (October) 5.6182

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.4836 5.3355 5.3983
February 5.6475 5.4702 5.5852
March 5.6786 5.4960 5.5880
April 5.7198 5.6003 5.6532
May 5.7531 5.5015 5.6010
June 6.0691 5.5248 5.7501
July 5.9572 5.7847 5.8363
August 6.0819 5.9272 6.0059
September 6.1086 5.9632 6.0456
October 6.1285 5.8806 5.9915
November 6.0632 5.6691 5.8449
December 5.7627 5.5788 5.6587