YEARLY HIGH
7.1300 BIF
YEARLY LOW
6.1828 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.5918 BIF

2018 HUF to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HUF to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 7.1300. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 15, dropping to 6.1828.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9472 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.9596 to the December average rate of 6.3734, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 7.1300 was up 3.85% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.8657, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,130,008 BIF
2017 Average 6,301,605 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 6,182,843 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 947,165.09 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

7.0558
6.2806
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.8215, compared to 6.3621 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4593 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.8215
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.3621

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.4305 BIF (High: 6.7912 / Low: 6.3608). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1511 BIF (High: 7.0541 / Low: 6.9030).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.4305
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1511

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.3646 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3646

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 6.9912) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.8395), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1517 (+19.72%).

2018 Avg (February) 6.9912
2017 Avg (February) 5.8395

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.1196 6.7689 6.9596
February 7.1300 6.8657 6.9912
March 7.0541 6.9030 6.9757
April 7.0646 6.8299 6.9758
May 6.7912 6.3608 6.6111
June 6.5867 6.2272 6.4154
July 6.4867 6.2392 6.3827
August 6.4516 6.1828 6.3452
September 6.4825 6.2631 6.3695
October 6.4550 6.2225 6.3528
November 6.4717 6.2019 6.3491
December 6.4969 6.2696 6.3734