YEARLY HIGH
0.4293 RSD
YEARLY LOW
0.3276 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3907 RSD

2012 HUF to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the HUF to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 8, valuing the pair at 0.4293. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 0.3276.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1017 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3420 to the December average rate of 0.3960, the exchange rate registered a net change of 15.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.4293 was up 9.78% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.3910, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 429,292 RSD
2011 Average 364,955 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 327,590 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 101,701.44 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.4311
0.3339
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3751, compared to 0.4064 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0313 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3751
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4064

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.0339 RSD (High: 0.3615 / Low: 0.3276). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0095 RSD (High: 0.3823 / Low: 0.3728).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0339
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0095

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0139 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0139

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2012: 0.4230) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.3746), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0484 (+12.93%).

2012 Avg (August) 0.4230
2011 Avg (August) 0.3746

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3615 0.3276 0.3420
February 0.3820 0.3580 0.3717
March 0.3823 0.3728 0.3791
April 0.3896 0.3706 0.3781
May 0.3934 0.3787 0.3865
June 0.4042 0.3821 0.3929
July 0.4214 0.3982 0.4071
August 0.4293 0.4154 0.4230
September 0.4161 0.4018 0.4091
October 0.4092 0.3994 0.4038
November 0.4051 0.3946 0.3993
December 0.4032 0.3853 0.3960