2018 HUF to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3862 RSD

YEARLY LOW

0.3575 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3710 RSD

2018 HUF to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HUF to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 0.3862. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 2, dropping to 0.3575.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0287 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3837 to the December average rate of 0.3665, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.3862 was down 4.16% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.4030, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 386,231 RSD

2017 Average 392,360 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 357,502 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 28,729.30 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.3857

0.3617

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3766, compared to 0.3655 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0111 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3766

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3655

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.0127 RSD (High: 0.3711 / Low: 0.3583). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0034 RSD (High: 0.3685 / Low: 0.3651).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0127

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0034

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0071 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0071

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.3837) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4006), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0169 (-4.22%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.3837

2017 Avg (January) 0.4006

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3862	0.3807	0.3837
February	0.3838	0.3753	0.3796
March	0.3806	0.3754	0.3785
April	0.3808	0.3770	0.3791
May	0.3769	0.3681	0.3730
June	0.3711	0.3583	0.3658
July	0.3681	0.3575	0.3637
August	0.3691	0.3614	0.3657
September	0.3662	0.3602	0.3642
October	0.3678	0.3631	0.3656
November	0.3687	0.3633	0.3671
December	0.3685	0.3651	0.3665