2016 HUF to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4049 RSD

YEARLY LOW

0.3847 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3952 RSD

2016 HUF to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HUF to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 8, valuing the pair at 0.4049. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 0.3847.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0202 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3900 to the December average rate of 0.3952, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.34% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.4049 was up 0.19% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.4042, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 404,909 RSD

2015 Average 389,518 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 384,694 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,215.42 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.4019

0.3890

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3933, compared to 0.3972 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0039 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3933

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3972

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0108 RSD (High: 0.3955 / Low: 0.3847). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0028 RSD (High: 0.3987 / Low: 0.3959).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0108

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0028

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0034 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0034

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2016: 0.4008) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3858), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0150 (+3.89%).

2016 Avg (October) 0.4008

2015 Avg (October) 0.3858

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3955	0.3847	0.3900
February	0.4009	0.3915	0.3959
March	0.4000	0.3906	0.3959
April	0.3973	0.3913	0.3940
May	0.3947	0.3872	0.3906
June	0.3975	0.3894	0.3933
July	0.3964	0.3886	0.3921
August	0.3987	0.3959	0.3972
September	0.4036	0.3967	0.3991
October	0.4049	0.3977	0.4008
November	0.4028	0.3936	0.3984
December	0.4000	0.3902	0.3952