2018 ILS to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.3740 MOP

YEARLY LOW

2.1323 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.2475 MOP

2018 ILS to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ILS to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 2.3740. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 2.1323.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2417 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.3539 to the December average rate of 2.1468, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.3740 was up 2.17% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.3235, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,870 MOP

2017 Average 11,162 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 10,661 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,208.38 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.3746

2.1261

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.2948, compared to 2.2002 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0946 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.2948

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.2002

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.0770 MOP (High: 2.3489 / Low: 2.2719). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0267 MOP (High: 2.2298 / Low: 2.2031).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0770

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0267

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0502 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0502

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 2.3539) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.0933), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2606 (+12.45%).

2018 Avg (January) 2.3539

2017 Avg (January) 2.0933

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.3740	2.3124	2.3539
February	2.3489	2.2719	2.3037
March	2.3527	2.3041	2.3298
April	2.3078	2.2483	2.2847
May	2.2712	2.2292	2.2535
June	2.2721	2.2091	2.2430
July	2.2298	2.2031	2.2189
August	2.2419	2.1741	2.2055
September	2.2646	2.2149	2.2477
October	2.2261	2.1698	2.2066
November	2.2009	2.1576	2.1756
December	2.1757	2.1323	2.1468