YEARLY HIGH
2.8804 MOP
YEARLY LOW
2.5173 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.6651 MOP

2026 ILS to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the ILS to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 30, valuing the pair at 2.8804. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 2.5173.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3631 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.5536 to the December average rate of 2.6686, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.50% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 2.8804 was up 14.12% compared to the 2025 peak of 2.5241, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,402 MOP
2025 Average 11,658 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 12,587 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,815.61 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

2.8768
2.5243
JanuMarcMayJuly

ILS to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.6646, compared to 2.6686 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0041 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.6646
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.6686

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was June, with a trading range of 0.1869 MOP (High: 2.8802 / Low: 2.6933). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0628 MOP (High: 2.6290 / Low: 2.5661).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1869
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0628

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0999 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0999

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2026: 2.8474) against the same month in 2025 (average: 2.2561), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5913 (+26.21%).

2026 Avg (May) 2.8474
2025 Avg (May) 2.2561

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.6023 2.5173 2.5536
February 2.6290 2.5661 2.5933
March 2.6225 2.5559 2.5858
April 2.7367 2.5598 2.6596
May 2.8804 2.7417 2.8474
June 2.8802 2.6933 2.7475
July 2.7083 2.6298 2.6686