YEARLY HIGH
2.6129 MOP
YEARLY LOW
2.3957 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.4780 MOP

2021 ILS to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ILS to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 17, valuing the pair at 2.6129. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 14, dropping to 2.3957.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2173 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.4725 to the December average rate of 2.5644, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 2.6129 was up 5.15% compared to the 2020 peak of 2.4848, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,065 MOP
2020 Average 11,621 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 11,978 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,086.26 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

2.5871
2.3951
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.4456, compared to 2.5105 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0648 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.4456
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5105

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 0.1179 MOP (High: 2.5508 / Low: 2.4329). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0204 MOP (High: 2.5070 / Low: 2.4867).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1179
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0204

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0331 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0331

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2021: 2.5711) against the same month in 2020 (average: 2.3774), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1936 (+8.14%).

2021 Avg (November) 2.5711
2020 Avg (November) 2.3774

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.5508 2.4329 2.4725
February 2.4646 2.4105 2.4394
March 2.4292 2.3957 2.4111
April 2.4688 2.3975 2.4396
May 2.4784 2.4335 2.4539
June 2.4683 2.4395 2.4572
July 2.4812 2.4211 2.4455
August 2.4993 2.4694 2.4865
September 2.5070 2.4867 2.5001
October 2.5374 2.4726 2.4951
November 2.6129 2.5219 2.5711
December 2.5945 2.5348 2.5644