YEARLY HIGH
4.1631 SCR
YEARLY LOW
3.6112 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.7918 SCR

2018 ILS to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ILS to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 15, valuing the pair at 4.1631. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 26, dropping to 3.6112.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5519 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0671 to the December average rate of 3.6430, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.43% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.1631 was up 3.00% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.0419, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,815 SCR
2017 Average 18,898 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 18,056 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,759.34 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.1095
3.6006
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.8690, compared to 3.7145 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1544 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.8690
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.7145

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.2862 SCR (High: 4.0840 / Low: 3.7978). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0437 SCR (High: 3.7357 / Low: 3.6921).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.2862
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0437

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1748 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1748

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 4.0671) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.5060), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5611 (+16.00%).

2018 Avg (January) 4.0671
2017 Avg (January) 3.5060

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.1631 4.0030 4.0671
February 4.0840 3.7978 3.8923
March 4.0822 3.8395 3.9367
April 3.9001 3.7389 3.8084
May 3.9050 3.7099 3.7606
June 3.7815 3.7015 3.7487
July 3.7357 3.6921 3.7188
August 3.7725 3.6547 3.7087
September 3.9803 3.7395 3.8004
October 3.8205 3.6636 3.7314
November 3.7198 3.6516 3.6849
December 3.7018 3.6112 3.6430