YEARLY HIGH
2.8254 DJF
YEARLY LOW
2.3950 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.6059 DJF

2018 INR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the INR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 2.8254. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 9, dropping to 2.3950.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4303 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.8079 to the December average rate of 2.5169, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.8254 was up 0.56% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.8096, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 INR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 706,343 DJF
2017 Average 686,811 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 598,762 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 107,581.61 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.8469
2.3786
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

INR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.7061, compared to 2.5057 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2004 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.7061
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5057

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.1250 DJF (High: 2.5531 / Low: 2.4281). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0210 DJF (High: 2.7355 / Low: 2.7145).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1250
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0210

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0911 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0911

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 2.8079) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.6250), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1829 (+6.97%).

2018 Avg (January) 2.8079
2017 Avg (January) 2.6250

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.8254 2.7954 2.8079
February 2.7931 2.7122 2.7552
March 2.7355 2.7145 2.7225
April 2.7285 2.6436 2.6938
May 2.6563 2.6000 2.6309
June 2.6638 2.5823 2.6263
July 2.6036 2.5792 2.5913
August 2.6055 2.5055 2.5604
September 2.5076 2.4488 2.4694
October 2.4342 2.3950 2.4176
November 2.5531 2.4281 2.4784
December 2.5590 2.4545 2.5169