YEARLY HIGH
53.6239 UGX
YEARLY LOW
48.7905 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
50.8681 UGX

2016 INR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the INR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 7, valuing the pair at 53.6239. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 27, dropping to 48.7905.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.8334 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 51.2083 to the December average rate of 53.0995, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.69% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 53.6239 was down 5.75% compared to the 2015 peak of 56.8960, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 INR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,405,968 UGX
2015 Average 12,608,892 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 12,197,616 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,208,351.78 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

53.4138
49.6422
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

INR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 50.3243, compared to 51.4118 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0874 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 50.3243
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 51.4118

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 2.4155 UGX (High: 51.2060 / Low: 48.7905). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4435 UGX (High: 50.5425 / Low: 50.0990).

February Spread (Volatile) ±2.4155
July Spread (Stable) ±0.4435

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.9858 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9858

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 53.0995) against the same month in 2015 (average: 50.5263), the exchange rate shifted by +2.5731 (+5.09%).

2016 Avg (December) 53.0995
2015 Avg (December) 50.5263

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 51.8042 50.9167 51.2083
February 51.2060 48.7905 50.2224
March 50.8803 49.3430 50.2389
April 50.9133 49.6432 50.2846
May 50.3696 49.6702 49.9565
June 50.4865 49.6532 50.0354
July 50.5425 50.0990 50.3259
August 50.6449 50.1356 50.3756
September 50.9855 50.3753 50.6479
October 51.8252 50.7409 51.4110
November 52.9445 51.9170 52.6108
December 53.6239 52.3738 53.0995