YEARLY HIGH
40.9099 UGX
YEARLY LOW
37.7765 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
39.3816 UGX

2026 INR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the INR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 16, valuing the pair at 40.9099. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 37.7765.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.1334 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 39.3109 to the December average rate of 39.2721, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.10% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 40.9099 was down 6.08% compared to the 2025 peak of 43.5594, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 INR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,227,473 UGX
2025 Average 10,336,073 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 9,444,114 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 783,359.57 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

40.2580
38.4710
JanuMarcMayJuly

INR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 39.5268, compared to 38.9460 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5808 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 39.5268
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 38.9460

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 2.5092 UGX (High: 40.2857 / Low: 37.7765). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1128 UGX (High: 39.3313 / Low: 39.2185).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.5092
August Spread (Stable) ±0.1128

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.5253 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5253

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 40.1091) against the same month in 2025 (average: 42.3566), the exchange rate shifted by -2.2475 (-5.31%).

2026 Avg (March) 40.1091
2025 Avg (March) 42.3566

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 40.2857 37.7765 39.3109
February 39.6366 38.9413 39.2845
March 40.9099 39.1752 40.1091
April 40.4484 39.0931 39.8127
May 39.6709 39.3047 39.4987
June 39.7536 38.4995 39.1452
July 39.3430 38.1993 38.6200
August 39.3313 39.2185 39.2721