YEARLY HIGH
57.8123 UGX
YEARLY LOW
50.8446 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
54.5743 UGX

2018 INR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the INR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 57.8123. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 31, dropping to 50.8446.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.9677 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 57.1890 to the December average rate of 52.5079, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 57.8123 was up 1.31% compared to the 2017 peak of 57.0647, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 INR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,453,066 UGX
2017 Average 13,892,335 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 12,711,141 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,741,924.92 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

57.7767
50.7237
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

INR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 56.3297, compared to 52.8189 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.5108 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 56.3297
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 52.8189

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 3.2685 UGX (High: 56.9846 / Low: 53.7162). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8846 UGX (High: 56.7471 / Low: 55.8625).

July Spread (Volatile) ±3.2685
March Spread (Stable) ±0.8846

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.9239 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9239

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 57.1890) against the same month in 2017 (average: 53.1090), the exchange rate shifted by +4.0800 (+7.68%).

2018 Avg (January) 57.1890
2017 Avg (January) 53.1090

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 57.8123 56.6934 57.1890
February 56.8944 55.8517 56.4691
March 56.7471 55.8625 56.2075
April 56.9472 55.3831 56.2929
May 55.9701 54.2574 55.1980
June 57.6301 56.1451 56.6214
July 56.9846 53.7162 54.6975
August 54.0253 52.9526 53.6430
September 53.3271 52.0793 52.7233
October 52.1302 50.8446 51.3115
November 53.4069 50.9993 52.0302
December 53.6936 51.3268 52.5079