YEARLY HIGH
4.4807 BIF
YEARLY LOW
0.0822 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2537 BIF

2018 KMF to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KMF to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 4.4807. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 5, dropping to 0.0822.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.3985 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.3704 to the December average rate of 4.1773, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.4807 was down 0.40% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.4985, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,404 BIF
2017 Average 19,792 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 411 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 21,992.42 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.4672
3.9850
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3501, compared to 4.1573 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1928 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3501
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1573

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 4.1382 BIF (High: 4.2204 / Low: 0.0822). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0910 BIF (High: 4.4638 / Low: 4.3729).

November Spread (Volatile) ±4.1382
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0910

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1545 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1545

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 4.4270) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.6610), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7660 (+20.92%).

2018 Avg (February) 4.4270
2017 Avg (February) 3.6610

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.4692 4.2500 4.3704
February 4.4807 4.3732 4.4270
March 4.4638 4.3729 4.4240
April 4.4632 4.3392 4.4146
May 4.3707 4.1667 4.2625
June 4.2625 4.1504 4.2019
July 4.2568 4.1573 4.2048
August 4.2307 4.0792 4.1563
September 4.2689 4.1549 4.2005
October 4.2510 4.0931 4.1797
November 4.2204 0.0822 4.0252
December 4.2258 4.1341 4.1773