YEARLY HIGH
10.9016 UGX
YEARLY LOW
9.0263 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.0022 UGX

2016 KZT to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KZT to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 10.9016. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 9.0263.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8752 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.5185 to the December average rate of 10.7698, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.15% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 10.9016 was down 42.49% compared to the 2015 peak of 18.9566, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KZT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 54,508 UGX
2015 Average 75,411 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 45,132 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,376.21 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

10.8949
9.3934
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KZT to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.7987, compared to 10.2057 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4070 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.7987
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.2057

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.9112 UGX (High: 9.9376 / Low: 9.0263). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1730 UGX (High: 10.1504 / Low: 9.9774).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.9112
May Spread (Stable) ±0.1730

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1032 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1032

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 10.7698) against the same month in 2015 (average: 10.4110), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3588 (+3.45%).

2016 Avg (December) 10.7698
2015 Avg (December) 10.4110

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.9376 9.0263 9.5185
February 9.7784 9.3198 9.5669
March 9.7920 9.6011 9.7346
April 10.1410 9.7520 9.9164
May 10.1504 9.9774 10.0625
June 10.0899 9.8868 9.9931
July 10.0923 9.5526 9.8899
August 9.9457 9.5289 9.8033
September 10.0855 9.8179 9.9754
October 10.4357 10.0936 10.3229
November 10.7763 10.2767 10.4731
December 10.9016 10.6476 10.7698