YEARLY HIGH
11.5704 UGX
YEARLY LOW
9.6532 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.8331 UGX

2018 KZT to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KZT to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 1, valuing the pair at 11.5704. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 9.6532.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.9172 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.1357 to the December average rate of 9.9824, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 11.5704 was down 1.02% compared to the 2017 peak of 11.6891, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KZT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 57,852 UGX
2017 Average 55,476 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 48,266 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,586.20 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

11.5417
9.8406
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KZT to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.3246, compared to 10.3417 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9829 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.3246
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.3417

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.8147 UGX (High: 10.7542 / Low: 9.9395). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1925 UGX (High: 11.4977 / Low: 11.3051).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.8147
June Spread (Stable) ±0.1925

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.4910 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4910

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 11.3748) against the same month in 2017 (average: 11.5999), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2251 (-1.94%).

2018 Avg (April) 11.3748
2017 Avg (April) 11.5999

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 11.3604 10.9252 11.1357
February 11.4374 11.1203 11.3059
March 11.5648 11.3074 11.3921
April 11.5704 11.1889 11.3748
May 11.5134 11.2290 11.3390
June 11.4977 11.3051 11.4000
July 11.4302 10.6424 10.9090
August 10.5989 10.2890 10.4333
September 10.7542 9.9395 10.3657
October 10.5181 10.1541 10.2766
November 10.2053 9.9606 10.0832
December 10.0937 9.6532 9.9824