YEARLY HIGH
8.6060 UGX
YEARLY LOW
7.8090 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.1610 UGX

2023 KZT to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the KZT to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 5, valuing the pair at 8.6060. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 7, dropping to 7.8090.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7970 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.9812 to the December average rate of 8.2361, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.19% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 8.6060 was down 3.10% compared to the 2022 peak of 8.8810, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KZT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 43,030 UGX
2022 Average 40,027 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 39,045 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,985.24 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

8.4012
7.8296
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KZT to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.2222, compared to 8.0998 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1224 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.2222
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.0998

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was March, with a trading range of 0.5396 UGX (High: 8.6060 / Low: 8.0665). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1345 UGX (High: 8.0574 / Low: 7.9229).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.5396
January Spread (Stable) ±0.1345

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1431 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1431

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2023: 8.2844) against the same month in 2022 (average: 7.1336), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1508 (+16.13%).

2023 Avg (March) 8.2844
2022 Avg (March) 7.1336

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.0574 7.9229 7.9812
February 8.3687 8.0013 8.1671
March 8.6060 8.0665 8.2844
April 8.4506 8.1760 8.2890
May 8.4425 8.2569 8.3535
June 8.3827 8.0641 8.2582
July 8.3321 8.1173 8.2255
August 8.3514 7.9474 8.1231
September 8.1281 7.8316 7.9801
October 8.0698 7.8090 7.8772
November 8.3080 8.0232 8.1570
December 8.3205 8.1668 8.2361