YEARLY HIGH
24.4788 UGX
YEARLY LOW
22.6364 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
23.3832 UGX

2016 LKR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the LKR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 24.4788. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 21, dropping to 22.6364.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8425 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 23.9192 to the December average rate of 24.1413, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.93% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 24.4788 was down 10.27% compared to the 2015 peak of 27.2819, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 122,394 UGX
2015 Average 118,966 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 113,182 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,212.29 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

24.2726
22.6980
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LKR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 23.2649, compared to 23.5015 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2366 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 23.2649
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 23.5015

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 1.0327 UGX (High: 24.1916 / Low: 23.1589). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1174 UGX (High: 23.2146 / Low: 23.0973).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.0327
August Spread (Stable) ±0.1174

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.6794 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6794

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 24.1413) against the same month in 2015 (average: 23.4422), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6991 (+2.98%).

2016 Avg (December) 24.1413
2015 Avg (December) 23.4422

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 24.1989 23.3759 23.9192
February 24.1916 23.1589 23.7830
March 23.2709 22.6415 23.1036
April 23.2821 22.6364 22.9437
May 23.0665 22.6788 22.8292
June 23.3147 22.6865 23.0106
July 23.2973 23.0088 23.1680
August 23.2146 23.0973 23.1633
September 23.3168 23.0978 23.1950
October 23.5274 23.1027 23.3279
November 24.4200 23.4419 24.0132
December 24.4788 23.8618 24.1413