YEARLY HIGH
21.5414 UGX
YEARLY LOW
20.1874 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
20.7401 UGX

2019 LKR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the LKR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 9, valuing the pair at 21.5414. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 20.1874.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3539 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 20.3666 to the December average rate of 20.2761, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 21.5414 was down 12.62% compared to the 2018 peak of 24.6522, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 107,707 UGX
2018 Average 114,909 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 100,937 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,769.65 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

21.4959
20.1652
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LKR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.9371, compared to 20.5431 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3941 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.9371
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 20.5431

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was March, with a trading range of 0.6155 UGX (High: 21.1712 / Low: 20.5558). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0944 UGX (High: 21.0584 / Low: 20.9640).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.6155
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0944

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.4320 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4320

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 21.3573) against the same month in 2018 (average: 23.6058), the exchange rate shifted by -2.2485 (-9.53%).

2019 Avg (May) 21.3573
2018 Avg (May) 23.6058

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 20.6472 20.2308 20.3666
February 20.8439 20.4246 20.5743
March 21.1712 20.5558 20.7964
April 21.5081 21.2574 21.3850
May 21.5414 21.2253 21.3573
June 21.3999 20.8200 21.1432
July 21.0584 20.9640 21.0058
August 21.0114 20.4392 20.7679
September 20.5328 20.2048 20.3359
October 20.5573 20.2143 20.3903
November 20.5720 20.3761 20.4824
December 20.4501 20.1874 20.2761