YEARLY HIGH
12.8865 UGX
YEARLY LOW
10.0044 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
11.3688 UGX

2023 LKR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the LKR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 3, valuing the pair at 12.8865. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 13, dropping to 10.0044.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.8821 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.0948 to the December average rate of 11.5741, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.65% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 12.8865 was down 27.99% compared to the 2022 peak of 17.8965, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 64,432 UGX
2022 Average 59,506 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 50,022 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,410.29 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

12.4660
9.8792
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LKR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.2159, compared to 11.5218 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3059 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.2159
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.5218

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was March, with a trading range of 1.6295 UGX (High: 11.7944 / Low: 10.1648). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1244 UGX (High: 11.6311 / Low: 11.5067).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.6295
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1244

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.7762 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7762

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2023: 12.2504) against the same month in 2022 (average: 10.4219), the exchange rate shifted by +1.8286 (+17.55%).

2023 Avg (June) 12.2504
2022 Avg (June) 10.4219

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.2050 10.0044 10.0948
February 10.2898 10.0327 10.0995
March 11.7944 10.1648 11.1897
April 11.8127 11.3986 11.6262
May 12.8551 11.6234 12.0349
June 12.8865 11.5916 12.2504
July 12.0594 10.9531 11.4743
August 11.6206 11.1521 11.4394
September 11.6311 11.5067 11.5688
October 11.5985 11.4656 11.5481
November 11.6325 11.4523 11.5260
December 11.6708 11.4936 11.5741