YEARLY HIGH
8.5954 RSD
YEARLY LOW
6.6957 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.5899 RSD

2016 LSL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the LSL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 8.5954. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 17, dropping to 6.6957.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8997 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.9352 to the December average rate of 8.4386, the exchange rate registered a net change of 21.68% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 8.5954 was down 10.66% compared to the 2015 peak of 9.6214, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LSL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 42,977 RSD
2015 Average 42,828 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 33,479 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,498.31 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

8.5890
6.7848
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LSL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.1574, compared to 8.0223 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8649 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.1574
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.0223

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was August, with a trading range of 0.6783 RSD (High: 8.2676 / Low: 7.5894). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3304 RSD (High: 7.3558 / Low: 7.0254).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.6783
March Spread (Stable) ±0.3304

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.3044 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3044

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 8.4386) against the same month in 2015 (average: 7.4272), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0114 (+13.62%).

2016 Avg (December) 8.4386
2015 Avg (December) 7.4272

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.2487 6.6957 6.9352
February 7.3333 6.7653 7.0032
March 7.3558 7.0254 7.1997
April 7.6349 7.0822 7.4147
May 7.5361 6.9523 7.1103
June 7.5567 7.0391 7.2817
July 7.9493 7.5418 7.7412
August 8.2676 7.5894 7.9889
September 8.1070 7.5770 7.8065
October 8.2711 7.7845 8.0002
November 8.3758 7.9262 8.1587
December 8.5954 8.2231 8.4386