YEARLY HIGH
8.3070 RSD
YEARLY LOW
6.5306 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.6084 RSD

2018 LSL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the LSL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 23, valuing the pair at 8.3070. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 16, dropping to 6.5306.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7765 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.9780 to the December average rate of 7.2910, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 8.3070 was down 9.78% compared to the 2017 peak of 9.2074, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LSL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 41,535 RSD
2017 Average 40,485 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 32,653 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,882.30 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

8.2197
6.7686
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LSL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.9554, compared to 7.2614 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6940 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.9554
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.2614

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.7363 RSD (High: 7.7083 / Low: 6.9719). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2121 RSD (High: 8.1985 / Low: 7.9863).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.7363
March Spread (Stable) ±0.2121

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.4864 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4864

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 8.0988) against the same month in 2017 (average: 8.8150), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7162 (-8.12%).

2018 Avg (February) 8.0988
2017 Avg (February) 8.8150

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.0886 7.8257 7.9780
February 8.3070 7.9050 8.0988
March 8.1985 7.9863 8.0843
April 8.1362 7.8075 7.9623
May 8.1635 7.8013 7.9715
June 8.0201 7.3310 7.6373
July 7.7041 7.3168 7.5290
August 7.7083 6.9719 7.3760
September 7.2085 6.5306 6.8896
October 7.2558 6.9267 7.0963
November 7.5927 7.1652 7.3867
December 7.6215 7.1152 7.2910