YEARLY HIGH
7.7708 RSD
YEARLY LOW
6.7938 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.2930 RSD

2019 LSL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the LSL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 7.7708. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 12, dropping to 6.7938.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9771 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.4658 to the December average rate of 7.3399, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 7.7708 was down 6.46% compared to the 2018 peak of 8.3070, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LSL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 38,854 RSD
2018 Average 38,030 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 33,969 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,885.26 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

7.6151
6.9491
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LSL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.3652, compared to 7.2208 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1444 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.3652
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.2208

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.6857 RSD (High: 7.4795 / Low: 6.7938). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1553 RSD (High: 7.4847 / Low: 7.3294).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.6857
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1553

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.4699 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4699

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 7.5596) against the same month in 2018 (average: 8.0988), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5392 (-6.66%).

2019 Avg (February) 7.5596
2018 Avg (February) 8.0988

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.7520 7.0797 7.4658
February 7.7708 7.4037 7.5596
March 7.4203 7.1575 7.2739
April 7.4847 7.3294 7.4229
May 7.4304 7.2109 7.3162
June 7.3311 6.9284 7.1527
July 7.6159 7.3669 7.4745
August 7.4795 6.7938 7.0046
September 7.2819 7.0372 7.1857
October 7.2724 7.0182 7.1325
November 7.3019 6.9563 7.1877
December 7.4988 7.1421 7.3399