2012 LTL to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

33.0269 KES

YEARLY LOW

29.5291 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

31.4601 KES

2012 LTL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the LTL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 19, valuing the pair at 33.0269. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 24, dropping to 29.5291.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.4978 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 32.1733 to the December average rate of 32.6628, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.52% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 33.0269 was down 21.13% compared to the 2011 peak of 41.8768, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LTL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 165,135 KES

2011 Average 178,907 KES

Yearly Trough Low 147,646 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,489.02 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

32.9317

29.7050

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LTL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 31.5610, compared to 31.3592 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2018 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 31.5610

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 31.3592

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was September, with a trading range of 1.4725 KES (High: 32.1414 / Low: 30.6688). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5774 KES (High: 32.3179 / Low: 31.7405).

September Spread (Volatile) ±1.4725

October Spread (Stable) ±0.5774

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.7747 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7747

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 32.6628) against the same month in 2011 (average: 32.9967), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3339 (-1.01%).

2012 Avg (December) 32.6628

2011 Avg (December) 32.9967

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	32.5305	31.8296	32.1733
February	32.2476	31.2864	31.8089
March	32.0871	31.0209	31.6976
April	32.0628	31.4083	31.6842
May	31.8621	30.9194	31.2532
June	31.0849	30.2976	30.7486
July	30.7935	29.5291	29.9739
August	30.7138	29.8977	30.1825
September	32.1414	30.6688	31.5358
October	32.3179	31.7405	31.9970
November	32.3135	31.4345	31.8032
December	33.0269	32.2063	32.6628