2014 LTL to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

35.1102 KES

YEARLY LOW

31.7927 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

33.8229 KES

2014 LTL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the LTL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 6, valuing the pair at 35.1102. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 31.7927.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.3175 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 34.0333 to the December average rate of 32.2505, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 35.1102 was up 1.49% compared to the 2013 peak of 34.5953, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LTL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 175,551 KES

2013 Average 165,645 KES

Yearly Trough Low 158,963 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,587.71 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

35.0251

31.9983

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LTL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 34.4651, compared to 33.1807 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.2844 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 34.4651

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 33.1807

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 1.0825 KES (High: 33.7680 / Low: 32.6855). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3152 KES (High: 34.7208 / Low: 34.4056).

September Spread (Volatile) ±1.0825

June Spread (Stable) ±0.3152

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.8282 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8282

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 34.7728) against the same month in 2013 (average: 31.6121), the exchange rate shifted by +3.1608 (+10.00%).

2014 Avg (May) 34.7728

2013 Avg (May) 31.6121

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	34.4237	33.6584	34.0333
February	34.4794	33.7761	34.1275
March	34.9167	34.3910	34.6477
April	34.9183	34.3975	34.6977
May	35.1102	34.5944	34.7728
June	34.7208	34.4056	34.5119
July	34.7766	34.0517	34.4241
August	34.1793	33.6737	34.0002
September	33.7680	32.6855	33.1721
October	33.0120	32.4502	32.7404
November	32.7362	32.3130	32.4970
December	32.7847	31.7927	32.2505