2016 LTL to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

33.6630 KES

YEARLY LOW

30.8661 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

32.9018 KES

2016 LTL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the LTL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 11, valuing the pair at 33.6630. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 30.8661.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7969 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 32.9059 to the December average rate of 31.1833, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.23% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 33.6630 was down 3.74% compared to the 2015 peak of 34.9714, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LTL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 168,315 KES

2015 Average 162,416 KES

Yearly Trough Low 154,331 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,984.52 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

33.7096

30.9536

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LTL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 33.2076, compared to 32.5959 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6117 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 33.2076

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 32.5959

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 1.8869 KES (High: 33.0782 / Low: 31.1913). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2688 KES (High: 32.9884 / Low: 32.7196).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.8869

July Spread (Stable) ±0.2688

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.9487 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9487

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 33.2360) against the same month in 2015 (average: 30.7293), the exchange rate shifted by +2.5067 (+8.16%).

2016 Avg (February) 33.2360

2015 Avg (February) 30.7293

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	33.1380	32.7078	32.9059
February	33.6630	32.8170	33.2360
March	33.5478	32.5395	33.1117
April	33.6572	33.3362	33.4799
May	33.6059	33.0404	33.2724
June	33.4863	32.7432	33.2400
July	32.9884	32.7196	32.8459
August	33.4973	32.8974	33.2034
September	33.4522	33.0377	33.2877
October	33.3630	32.5766	32.9231
November	33.0782	31.1913	32.1319
December	31.7610	30.8661	31.1833