2013 LTL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1053.9350 UGX

YEARLY LOW

955.3407 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

994.9709 UGX

2013 LTL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the LTL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 1053.9350. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 17, dropping to 955.3407.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 98.5944 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1032.8631 to the December average rate of 997.0589, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1053.9350 was up 2.61% compared to the 2012 peak of 1027.1532, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LTL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,269,675 UGX

2012 Average 4,664,400 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 4,776,703 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 492,971.78 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1038.9388

966.0311

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LTL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 997.6438, compared to 992.2980 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.3457 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 997.6438

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 992.2980

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was February, with a trading range of 47.8110 UGX (High: 1053.9350 / Low: 1006.1240). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 17.9763 UGX (High: 1010.6654 / Low: 992.6891).

February Spread (Volatile) ±47.8110

October Spread (Stable) ±17.9763

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 39.2726 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -39.2726

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 1028.8509) against the same month in 2012 (average: 894.4182), the exchange rate shifted by +134.4327 (+15.03%).

2013 Avg (February) 1028.8509

2012 Avg (February) 894.4182

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1045.7094	1024.0963	1032.8631
February	1053.9350	1006.1240	1028.8509
March	1004.2034	961.6544	989.5783
April	988.4567	956.5035	972.1067
May	990.2948	955.3407	972.1977
June	1007.2606	975.2448	990.2660
July	997.9171	964.0067	980.7223
August	1005.9603	985.9769	994.7319
September	1003.5109	982.3497	993.8608
October	1010.6654	992.6891	1001.5242
November	995.1581	976.5595	985.8900
December	1009.3569	991.0996	997.0589