YEARLY HIGH
1142.0639 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1071.1197 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1107.2174 UGX

2016 LTL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the LTL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 16, valuing the pair at 1142.0639. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 1071.1197.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 70.9442 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1107.6844 to the December average rate of 1098.9915, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1142.0639 was down 6.30% compared to the 2015 peak of 1218.8781, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LTL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,710,319 UGX
2015 Average 5,351,260 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 5,355,598 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 354,721.06 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1126.7018
1092.8604
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LTL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1106.2766, compared to 1108.1581 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.8815 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1106.2766
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1108.1581

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 58.0796 UGX (High: 1140.9688 / Low: 1082.8891). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 14.0761 UGX (High: 1120.9190 / Low: 1106.8429).

February Spread (Volatile) ±58.0796
October Spread (Stable) ±14.0761

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 24.8901 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -24.8901

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 1123.8817) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1093.3086), the exchange rate shifted by +30.5730 (+2.80%).

2016 Avg (November) 1123.8817
2015 Avg (November) 1093.3086

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1123.2386 1085.4075 1107.6844
February 1140.9688 1082.8891 1117.4170
March 1114.9414 1074.1254 1097.0521
April 1116.4722 1089.6461 1105.1344
May 1113.2685 1098.2376 1104.3598
June 1113.6536 1093.7200 1106.0121
July 1105.7450 1089.5808 1095.6805
August 1113.7143 1094.0032 1104.1988
September 1118.8710 1103.7011 1111.6120
October 1120.9190 1106.8429 1114.5844
November 1142.0639 1104.0923 1123.8817
December 1128.0432 1071.1197 1098.9915