2014 LTL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1050.6301 UGX

YEARLY LOW

961.6396 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

998.3451 UGX

2014 LTL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the LTL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 13, valuing the pair at 1050.6301. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 4, dropping to 961.6396.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 88.9905 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 986.6323 to the December average rate of 986.1884, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.04% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1050.6301 was down 0.31% compared to the 2013 peak of 1053.9350, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LTL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,253,151 UGX

2013 Average 4,973,979 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 4,808,198 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 444,952.47 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1037.6030

970.8924

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LTL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1001.4425, compared to 995.2476 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 6.1949 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1001.4425

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 995.2476

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was February, with a trading range of 40.9939 UGX (High: 1008.7896 / Low: 967.7957). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 14.2721 UGX (High: 1018.7226 / Low: 1004.4505).

February Spread (Volatile) ±40.9939

April Spread (Stable) ±14.2721

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 29.2099 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -29.2099

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 1032.0438) against the same month in 2013 (average: 980.7223), the exchange rate shifted by +51.3216 (+5.23%).

2014 Avg (July) 1032.0438

2013 Avg (July) 980.7223

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1005.9772	968.6540	986.6323
February	1008.7896	967.7957	976.4516
March	1027.6231	1001.1515	1014.2056
April	1018.7226	1004.4505	1010.4498
May	1016.2882	998.5662	1006.2255
June	1030.0835	1002.4171	1014.6905
July	1050.6301	1017.4828	1032.0438
August	1017.3809	992.3883	1006.7654
September	993.7874	970.8036	977.5554
October	997.7590	961.6396	981.8193
November	1002.1081	967.4560	987.1134
December	1006.8582	971.6939	986.1884