2016 MAD to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1416.7423 IDR

YEARLY LOW

1311.7040 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

1357.3746 IDR

2016 MAD to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MAD to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 1416.7423. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 1311.7040.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 105.0383 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1400.1536 to the December average rate of 1326.3390, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1416.7423 was down 6.45% compared to the 2015 peak of 1514.3658, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,083,712 IDR

2015 Average 6,868,360 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 6,558,520 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 525,191.27 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1407.5742

1318.5263

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1376.6436, compared to 1338.1056 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 38.5379 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1376.6436

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1338.1056

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 56.7037 IDR (High: 1401.8534 / Low: 1345.1498). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 15.3215 IDR (High: 1373.5731 / Low: 1358.2515).

June Spread (Volatile) ±56.7037

April Spread (Stable) ±15.3215

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 37.9106 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -37.9106

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1400.1536) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1342.6433), the exchange rate shifted by +57.5103 (+4.28%).

2016 Avg (January) 1400.1536

2015 Avg (January) 1342.6433

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1416.7423	1386.1547	1400.1536
February	1404.6470	1352.7309	1382.8312
March	1376.2779	1331.3918	1349.2977
April	1373.5731	1358.2515	1363.9609
May	1400.1601	1373.6405	1388.0841
June	1401.8534	1345.1498	1375.5340
July	1346.0035	1330.4375	1337.6234
August	1367.7154	1339.0813	1352.4927
September	1363.0857	1333.3207	1349.9099
October	1342.4768	1312.5262	1325.9470
November	1346.8681	1325.6539	1336.3217
December	1350.1765	1311.7040	1326.3390