YEARLY HIGH
39.5114 NGN
YEARLY LOW
37.6173 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
38.4984 NGN

2018 MAD to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MAD to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 39.5114. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 29, dropping to 37.6173.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8942 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 38.9250 to the December average rate of 38.1624, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 39.5114 was up 1.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 38.8607, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 197,557 NGN
2017 Average 172,360 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 188,086 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,470.84 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

39.3518
37.8114
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 38.7664, compared to 38.2304 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5360 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 38.7664
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 38.2304

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 1.0964 NGN (High: 38.7137 / Low: 37.6173). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3492 NGN (High: 39.4238 / Low: 39.0746).

May Spread (Volatile) ±1.0964
March Spread (Stable) ±0.3492

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.8259 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8259

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 39.2234) against the same month in 2017 (average: 31.3301), the exchange rate shifted by +7.8933 (+25.19%).

2018 Avg (February) 39.2234
2017 Avg (February) 31.3301

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 39.3765 38.3666 38.9250
February 39.5114 38.9553 39.2234
March 39.4238 39.0746 39.2139
April 39.2942 38.7131 39.0611
May 38.7137 37.6173 38.2351
June 38.2914 37.6497 37.9398
July 38.3647 37.9190 38.1298
August 38.5613 37.6526 38.0729
September 38.9123 38.0543 38.4939
October 38.5814 38.0001 38.3113
November 38.4593 37.8866 38.2122
December 38.4508 37.7682 38.1624