YEARLY HIGH
0.4277 RON
YEARLY LOW
0.4069 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4140 RON

2016 MAD to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MAD to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 0.4277. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 22, dropping to 0.4069.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0208 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4210 to the December average rate of 0.4239, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.68% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.4277 was up 1.83% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.4200, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,138 RON
2015 Average 2,055 RON
Yearly Trough Low 2,034 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 104.02 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.4255
0.4067
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4133, compared to 0.4147 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0015 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4133
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4147

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0114 RON (High: 0.4241 / Low: 0.4127). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0022 RON (High: 0.4093 / Low: 0.4070).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0114
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0022

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0081 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0081

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.4239) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.4179), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0060 (+1.43%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.4239
2015 Avg (December) 0.4179

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4230 0.4193 0.4210
February 0.4205 0.4097 0.4129
March 0.4150 0.4078 0.4111
April 0.4108 0.4069 0.4085
May 0.4172 0.4073 0.4117
June 0.4181 0.4107 0.4143
July 0.4163 0.4088 0.4132
August 0.4106 0.4069 0.4091
September 0.4093 0.4070 0.4082
October 0.4184 0.4072 0.4145
November 0.4241 0.4127 0.4193
December 0.4277 0.4186 0.4239