YEARLY HIGH
0.4326 RON
YEARLY LOW
0.4078 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4200 RON

2018 MAD to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MAD to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 12, valuing the pair at 0.4326. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 0.4078.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0248 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4121 to the December average rate of 0.4285, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.97% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4326 was up 1.48% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.4263, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,163 RON
2017 Average 2,086 RON
Yearly Trough Low 2,039 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 124.16 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4332
0.4082
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4139, compared to 0.4261 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0122 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4139
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4261

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0109 RON (High: 0.4295 / Low: 0.4186). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0032 RON (High: 0.4326 / Low: 0.4294).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0109
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0032

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0026 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0026

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 0.4311) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4172), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0138 (+3.32%).

2018 Avg (November) 0.4311
2017 Avg (November) 0.4172

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4166 0.4090 0.4121
February 0.4124 0.4078 0.4103
March 0.4136 0.4092 0.4115
April 0.4155 0.4089 0.4121
May 0.4210 0.4138 0.4169
June 0.4226 0.4184 0.4206
July 0.4218 0.4180 0.4205
August 0.4295 0.4186 0.4244
September 0.4259 0.4220 0.4238
October 0.4308 0.4267 0.4284
November 0.4326 0.4294 0.4311
December 0.4319 0.4250 0.4285